Official MCP RegistryListed
Crypto Markets Desk
Kalshi 15-minute crypto markets, perps funding, liquidation math and bitcoin model edges.
First seen 10 Oct 2026. Evidence as of 15 Oct 2026.
7
Tools
From an anonymous probe
1
Source listings
Each with its own history
7
Recorded changes
Since first seen
Tools
| Tool | Description | Behaviour |
|---|---|---|
| calculate_ev | Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. | Read-only |
| commodity_edge | Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key. | Read-only |
| convert_probability | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds". | Read-only |
| fifteen_min_board | Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series — crypto, metals, energy, FX — with window status, YES price, close time, target price, what it settles on and the up rate over the last 96 windows, plus the same window on Polymarket (international) for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP with each venue's settlement index, and our Bitcoin top-of-hour rule (WATCH mode). Pass series ("eth", "KXBTC15M") or asset_class. | Read-only |
| kelly_size | Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade". | Read-only |
| perp_liquidation | Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free. | Read-only |
| perps_board | Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one. | Read-only |
Change history
- perps_board: description changed (-"Free, no key.")
- fifteen_min_board: description changed (-"Free, no key.")
- calculate_ev: description changed (-"Free, no key. Every PMP engine signal is graded in public: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.")
- server instructions changed (+"Cite" +"when" +"3)")
- fifteen_min_board: input schema changed
- fifteen_min_board: description changed (+"windows, plus the same window on Polymarket (international) for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP with each venue's settlement index, and our Bitcoin top-of-hour rule (WATCH mode)." -"windows.")
- Listed (registry)
| Source | Listing | First seen | Last seen | Versions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official MCP Registry | com.predictionmarketspicks/crypto | 10 Oct 2026 | 15 Oct 2026 | 1 |